Pre-tourney Rankings
Atlantic Sun
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
57 Lipscomb 8.6%   23 - 7 14 - 2 23 - 7 14 - 2 +8.4      +3.7 79 +4.6 62 80.4 14 +7.6 68 +7.7 2
90 Liberty 100.0%   13   25 - 6 14 - 2 25 - 6 14 - 2 +5.5      +3.6 82 +1.9 121 58.6 350 +7.7 67 +8.6 1
188 NJIT 0.0%   20 - 12 8 - 8 20 - 12 8 - 8 -1.7      -2.5 249 +0.9 145 66.8 230 +0.7 160 -4.2 5
189 North Florida 0.0%   14 - 17 9 - 7 14 - 17 9 - 7 -1.8      -0.7 198 -1.0 198 77.8 21 -1.1 181 -2.3 4
220 Florida Gulf Coast 0.0%   12 - 18 9 - 7 12 - 18 9 - 7 -3.3      -2.0 237 -1.3 203 70.5 132 -3.7 218 -2.0 3
264 Jacksonville 0.0%   10 - 20 5 - 11 10 - 20 5 - 11 -6.0      -4.1 286 -1.9 227 76.0 34 -8.2 298 -9.4 7
301 North Alabama 0.0%   7 - 22 7 - 9 7 - 22 7 - 9 -8.2      -7.0 329 -1.2 200 70.3 136 -8.3 299 -5.0 6
330 Stetson 0.0%   5 - 24 3 - 13 5 - 24 3 - 13 -11.7      -5.0 304 -6.7 331 72.4 89 -14.2 336 -13.0 9
340 Kennesaw St. 0.0%   4 - 26 3 - 13 4 - 26 3 - 13 -14.3      -8.5 338 -5.8 319 70.1 139 -13.4 334 -12.4 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Lipscomb 1.0 100.0
Liberty 1.0 100.0
NJIT 5.0 100.0
North Florida 3.0 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 3.0 100.0
Jacksonville 7.0 100.0
North Alabama 6.0 100.0
Stetson 8.0 100.0
Kennesaw St. 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Lipscomb 14 - 2 100.0
Liberty 14 - 2 100.0
NJIT 8 - 8 100.0
North Florida 9 - 7 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 9 - 7 100.0
Jacksonville 5 - 11 100.0
North Alabama 7 - 9 100.0
Stetson 3 - 13 100.0
Kennesaw St. 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Lipscomb 100.0% 100.0
Liberty 100.0% 100.0
NJIT
North Florida
Florida Gulf Coast
Jacksonville
North Alabama
Stetson
Kennesaw St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Lipscomb 8.6% 0.0% 8.6% 0.0 1.5 6.8 0.2 0.0 91.4 8.6%
Liberty 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 0.3 32.8 56.0 10.9
NJIT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Lipscomb 8.6% 8.4% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liberty 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 14.9% 3.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.1 91.4 8.6
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 96.0 4.0
2nd Round 15.7% 0.2 84.3 15.6 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 3.5% 0.0 96.5 3.5 0.0
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0